Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / GCO
$34.54
+$0.09 · +0.26%
52w low52周低 $21.12high高 $43.92
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 32.51.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 32.51 下方。
As of 2026-09-27截至 2026-09-27
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-27
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-2.7% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+6.9% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
22th percentile第22百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$2.4B2026
20212026
5-yr growth5年复合增速 6.4%
Earnings per share每股收益
$1.252026
20212026
Free cash flow自由现金流
$83.7M2026
20212026
Gross margin毛利率
46.3%
Operating margin营业利润率
0.7%
Net margin净利率
0.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
6.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/8
Return on equity股本回报率 2%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.44
Current ratio流动比率1.64
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$12.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-3.7%
Debt coming due到期债务
FY2020 10-KThe 12-month bucket following fiscal period end 2020-02-01 is not reported. The years below are what the filing did report.文件未披露财年期末 2020-02-01 之后12个月区间的到期金额；下方为其确实披露的年度。
All maturity buckets are measured from fiscal period end 2020-02-01, not from today.所有到期区间均从财年期末 2020-02-01 起算，而非从今天起算。
First 12 months after period end报告期末之后首12个月
not reported未披露
Year 2第2年
not reported未披露
Year 3第3年
$14.4M
Year 4第4年
not reported未披露
Year 5第5年
not reported未披露
After year 55年以后
not reported未披露
Cash reported at 2026-01-31: $105405000.截至 2026-01-31 披露的现金：$105405000。 Operating cash flow exceeded or equaled equipment spending over 2025-02-02 to 2026-01-31; no cash burn to measure.在 2025-02-02 至 2026-01-31 期间，经营现金流不低于设备支出，无可衡量的现金消耗。
Capital-need coverage is partial; incomplete or incompatible filing inputs are not combined.资本需求覆盖信息不完整；不会合并不完整或不兼容的报告数据。
Any available cash-flow scenario is context only. Missing or incompatible inputs are not replaced with zero or a financing forecast.可用现金流情景仅供参考；缺失或不兼容的输入不以零值或融资预测替代。
Sources and cash-flow calculation来源与现金流计算
Figures are XBRL facts from one filing — no two years are mixed. Filing数据取自同一份文件中的 XBRL 事实，不跨文件拼接。文件
0000018498-20-000016, period ending报告期截至 2020-02-01, unit单位 USD.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-25T08:20:27.186446+00:00.
1/6 buckets reported.个区间有披露。
LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInNextTwelveMonths— period_mismatchLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearTwo— period_mismatchLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearThreeLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFour— period_mismatchLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFive— period_mismatchLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalAfterYearFive— period_mismatch
Annual period年度区间 2025-02-02 — 2026-01-31 · USD · 10-K · 0001193125-26-123492 · Filed提交日期 2026-03-25.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-25T08:20:27.186446+00:00 · Evaluated as of评估截至 2026-09-28.
- Reported operating cash flow已披露经营活动现金流: $145760000
- Reported equipment spending (capex outflow)已披露设备支出（资本开支流出）: $62054000
- Derived free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex)计算所得自由现金流（经营现金流减资本开支）: $83706000
Cash is the reported balance at period end. The runway scenario holds this annual cash-flow pace constant and excludes debt payments, restricted-cash adjustments and future financing.现金为期末已披露余额。现金跑道情景假设本年度现金流速度保持不变，不包括债务偿还、受限现金调整与未来融资。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
Sep 24, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Sep 22, 2026
GCO daily MACD crossed upGCO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $35.08.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$35.08。
Sep 21, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Sep 18, 2026
GCO daily MACD crossed downGCO 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $32.76.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$32.76。
Sep 17, 2026
GCO broke down vs the marketGCO 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $33.27.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$33.27。
Sep 16, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Sep 4, 2026
GCO daily MACD crossed upGCO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $35.81.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$35.81。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 165 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +5.4% | +1.3% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +-0.0% | +0.9% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -4.5% | +6.1% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +23.5% | +22.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +39.7% | +13.8% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +12.5% | +18.5% |
Trading information交易信息
Volatility rank波动率分位
22th pctile
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.20
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-19.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | 20262026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.8B | $2.4B | $2.4B | $2.3B | $2.3B | $2.4B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-3.97 | $7.92 | $5.66 | $-1.50 | $-1.74 | $1.25 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $134M | $186M | $-225M | $34M | $47M | $84M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 45.0% | 48.8% | 47.6% | 47.3% | 47.2% | 46.3% |
| Net margin净利率 | -3.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | -0.7% | -0.8% | 0.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 7.5% | 7.7% | -9.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$2.4B
Gross profit毛利润
$1.1B
Net income净利润
$13M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$146M
Total assets总资产
$1.4B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$567M
Long-term debt长期负债
$3M
Buybacks股票回购
$13M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.01B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
2.3%
Return on assets资产回报率
0.9%
Debt / assets负债/资产
0.2%
Asset growth资产增速
+4.3%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +1.3pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 1.3 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: leverage unremarkable资产负债表：杠杆水平一般
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
51
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
65
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+1.5%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-2.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+6.9%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
CompressedCOMPRESSED
Days compressed已压缩天数
1
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
1/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。