Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Staples / SAM
Boston Beer Company · Staples
SAM US listed · USD美股 · 美元
The Boston Beer Company is an American brewery founded in 1984 by James "Jim" Koch and Rhonda Kallman. Boston Beer Company's first brand of beer was named Samuel Adams after Founding Father Samuel Adams, an American revolutionary patriot.波士顿啤酒公司是一家美国啤酒厂，由詹姆斯·“吉姆”·科赫和朗达·卡尔曼于1984年创立。波士顿啤酒公司的首个啤酒品牌以美国革命爱国者、开国元勋塞缪尔·亚当斯命名。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Staples
S&P 400标普400中盘
$183.20
-$2.11 · -1.14%
52w low52周低 $157high高 $264
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Trend intact — hold; add on dips toward the 10-day average.趋势完好——持有；可在回调至 10 日均线附近时加仓。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-08-03
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅作背景参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅作背景参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-03
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+2.9% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-11.6% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
79th percentile第79百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-23Estimates being cut预期下调
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 2.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -8.6%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Gross margin毛利率
48.5%
Operating margin营业利润率
7.4%
Net margin净利率
5.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
13.7%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/7
Return on equity股本回报率 13%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.95
Current ratio流动比率1.65
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$202.4M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$21.8M
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$0.6M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.6M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD. Day 13 of the cycle, trend intact above a rising 10-day average, weekly aligned持有。周期第 13 天，趋势完好并位于向上的 10 日均线之上，周线一致
Jul 28, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 21, 2026
SAM broke down vs the marketSAM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $170.98.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$170.98。
Jul 17, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 16, 2026
SAM daily MACD crossed upSAM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $182.50.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$182.50。
Jul 16, 2026
SAM StochRSI turned up from oversoldSAM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $182.50.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$182.50。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 14, 2026
SAM printed a daily-cycle lowSAM 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $168.75.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$168.75。
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
SAM broke down vs the marketSAM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $172.39.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$172.39。
Jul 13, 2026
SAM daily MACD crossed downSAM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $172.39.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$172.39。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 245 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
The Boston Beer Company is an American brewery founded in 1984 by James "Jim" Koch and Rhonda Kallman. Boston Beer Company's first brand of beer was named Samuel Adams after Founding Father Samuel Adams, an American revolutionary patriot.波士顿啤酒公司是一家美国啤酒厂，由詹姆斯·“吉姆”·科赫和朗达·卡尔曼于1984年创立。波士顿啤酒公司的首个啤酒品牌以美国革命爱国者、开国元勋塞缪尔·亚当斯命名。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Profitability盈利能力
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
25/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
6/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
19/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
19/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#43 / 74
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.7% | +1.1% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.1% | +0.2% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -14.5% | +3.7% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -14.2% | +8.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -8.3% | +9.6% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -11.5% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -50.1% | +69.4% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
-0.02
Volatility rank波动率分位
79th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-29.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.7B | $2.1B | $2.1B | $2.0B | $2.0B | $2.0B |
| EPS每股收益 | $15.53 | $1.17 | $5.44 | $6.21 | $5.06 | $9.89 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $113M | $-92M | $109M | $201M | $173M | $216M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 46.9% | 38.8% | 41.2% | 42.4% | 44.4% | 48.5% |
| Net margin净利率 | 11.1% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 6.5% | -4.5% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$2.0B
Gross profit毛利润
$953M
Net income净利润
$109M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$270M
Total assets总资产
$1.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$846M
Buybacks股票回购
$202M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
12.9%
Return on assets资产回报率
9.2%
Profit growth利润增速
+83.4%
Asset growth资产增速
-4.5%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Pricing power: strong gross profitability vs peers定价能力：毛利能力强于同业
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
53
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
26
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+2.6%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+2.9%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-11.6%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
49/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
9
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-7.4%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-7
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$0.6M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 1
Days to cover回补天数
5.6
Short interest change空头变化
-3.2%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jul · 75%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jun · 25%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +1.3% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -2.6% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -1.0% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +3.3% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -6.5% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 25% | -2.3% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +8.9% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 33% | -1.4% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +6.5% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -1.3% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +6.3% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -2.5% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。