Macro & Monetary宏观与货币

Consumer & Payments消费与支付

Cash-flow/spending momentum x consumer credit stress现金流/支出动能 × 消费信贷压力

Region地区 · United States美国 Frequency频率 · Updates when the source updates数据源更新时同步更新 Window窗口 · Latest reading最新读数
Data we need today今天需要的数据 Stale source数据源已过期
Coverage覆盖率
100.0%

Updated once a night — not live.每晚更新一次 — 非实时。

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Conservative over the required set — a degraded optional leg cannot turn this green.在必需分项集合上取最保守值 — 可选分项降级不会让此处转绿。

Owner cadence, daily republish按所有者节奏,每日重新发布 · Latest accepted print最新已接受读数

Required-source availability必需数据源可用性

Page build time is not an economic clock and never makes a source fresh. This page is a static publication — it does not poll for live data.页面生成时间并非经济时钟,不会使数据源变新。本页为静态发布 — 不会实时轮询数据。

Last accepted source cut最近已接受数据截止
Calculation as-of计算截止
Page built页面生成
Where these numbers come from这些数字的来源

Required components and their source clocks必需分项及其数据源时钟

Component分项 Presence具备情况 Freshness新鲜度 Source as-of数据源截止
Retail sales零售销售 Present已具备 Current当前有效
Consumer sentiment消费者信心 Partial部分具备 Stale source数据源已过期
Consumer credit (total)消费信贷(总额) Present已具备 Current当前有效
Consumer credit (revolving)消费信贷(循环) Present已具备 Current当前有效
Consumer credit (nonrevolving)消费信贷(非循环) Present已具备 Current当前有效
Personal saving rate个人储蓄率 Present已具备 Current当前有效
Real disposable income实际可支配收入 Present已具备 Current当前有效
Credit-card delinquency rate信用卡拖欠率 Present已具备 Current当前有效
Mortgage delinquency rate住房抵押贷款拖欠率 Present已具备 Current当前有效

What this means for you这对你意味着什么

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

What this state implies该状态意味着什么

Deterministic text from the accepted snapshot. No language model writes here.文本由已接受快照确定性生成,此处不由语言模型撰写。

More published notes sit in Details — this page shows at most three.更多已发布说明见详情 — 本页最多展示三条。

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Additional implications are carried by the snapshot but not shown here; the core surface shows at most three.快照中还有其他推论,此处未展示;核心界面最多展示三条。

Cash-flow/spending momentum x consumer credit stress现金流/支出动能 × 消费信贷压力

Strong cash-flow momentum / High credit stress现金流动能强 / 信贷压力高

Effective date生效日期
Last reading上次读数
B
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Method version方法版本
Consumer-payments method v1, published 1 Sep 2026消费支付方法第1版,发布于2026年9月1日
Prior accepted print上一已接受读数
B

1-month vector一个月位移向量

Nearest boundary最近分界 / Score points to距下列坐标轴分界

Movement since the prior accepted print相对上一已接受读数的位移

Household cash-flow momentum家庭现金流动能 75.07 Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强 Current当前有效
Household credit stress家庭信贷压力 48.22 Higher = more stress数值越高=压力越大 Current当前有效
Where it moved this month本月的变化方向 Stronger household cash flow, no change in household credit stress.家庭现金流增强,家庭信贷压力无变化。 Change since the last reading相对上次读数的变化
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Numeric move since the last reading:相对上次读数的数值位移: Δx +2.89 · Δy +0.00

How close to a different reading距离另一种读数还有多远 1.78 Household credit stress家庭信贷压力

Where today sits今天落在哪里

This describes today. It is not a forecast.这是对今天的描述,不是预测。
A Weak momentum High stress 动能疲弱 压力高 B Strong momentum High stress 动能强劲 压力高 C Weak momentum Low stress 动能疲弱 压力低 D Strong momentum Low stress 动能强劲 压力低 Weak momentum 动能疲弱 Strong momentum 动能强劲 Household cash-flow momentum 家庭现金流动能 Low stress 压力低 High stress 压力高 Household credit stress 家庭信贷压力
Household cash-flow momentum家庭现金流动能75.07Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强
Household credit stress家庭信贷压力48.22Higher = more stress数值越高=压力越大
Boundary分界50.00 / 50.00
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Hysteresis band滞回带 ±5.00 Applied against the prior print已对照上一读数应用

Regime map体制地图

Two disclosed descriptive axes. The grid is a description of the current reading, not a forecast.两条已披露的描述性坐标轴。此网格描述当前读数,并非预测。

Fixed, disclosed threshold on each axis每条坐标轴上固定且已披露的阈值

1-month vector一个月位移向量

Nearest boundary最近分界 / Score points to距下列坐标轴分界

Movement since the prior accepted print相对上一已接受读数的位移

Data problems数据问题

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Diagnostics诊断

Constraints, missing components, source issues and method warnings.约束、缺失分项、数据源问题与方法警示。

  • Required source not current必需数据源并非最新 Degraded required components: Consumer sentiment.降级的必需分项:消费者信心。
  • Optional legs degraded可选分项已降级 Shown separately, and excluded from the page state: Consumer sentiment.单独呈现,且不计入本页状态:消费者信心。
  • Component histories not published未发布分项历史序列 Insufficient history历史数据不足
  • Scenario execution not available情景推演功能不可用 The assumption vocabulary is declared and closed, but no scenario function is published — so no Scenario tab is offered.假设变量词表已声明并封闭,但尚未发布情景函数 — 因此不提供“情景”标签页。
  • Alert service not available预警服务不可用 Eligible conditions are declared, but no service can create, list, evaluate or delete them — so no Alerts tab is offered.可用的预警条件已声明,但尚无服务能够创建、列出、评估或删除它们 — 因此不提供“预警”标签页。

What changed发生了什么变化

Today against last time, measured the same way.以相同方法将今天与上次对比。
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Current accepted snapshot against the prior accepted snapshot, under the same method version.在相同方法版本下,将当前已接受快照与上一已接受快照对比。

No numeric comparison is shown. A change table would have to invent a baseline that does not exist, and a method-version change is reported as a method change — never as a delta.此处不展示任何数值对比。展示变化表将不得不虚构一个并不存在的基准;方法版本变更只按方法变更呈现,绝不伪装成数值变化。

Comparable with the last reading与上次读数可比

Metric指标 Prior上期 Current当前 Change变化
Retail sales零售销售 737,763.0 745,021.0+7,258.0
Retail sales, year over year零售销售同比 5.36 6.29+0.93
How households feel about the economy家庭对经济的感受 51.70 51.700
Household sentiment, year over year家庭感受同比 −11.17 −11.170
Household cash-flow momentum家庭现金流动能 72.18 75.07+2.89
Household credit stress家庭信贷压力 48.22 48.220

Component metrics分项指标

Each cell carries its own unit, basis, direction and clocks — frequencies differ inside one band.每个单元格自带单位、基准、方向与时钟 — 同一组内的频率并不相同。
Retail sales零售销售 Current当前有效
745,021.0745,021.0Usd millions sa百万美元(季调)

Higher more spending数值越高=支出越多

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Sep 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年9月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 US retail sales (FRED)美国零售销售(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Retail sales mom零售销售环比 Current当前有效
0.770.77%%

Higher more spending数值越高=支出越多

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Mom pct change环比变化
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Sep 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年9月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 US retail sales (FRED)美国零售销售(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Retail sales, year over year零售销售同比 Current当前有效
6.296.29%%

Higher more spending数值越高=支出越多

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Yoy pct change同比变化
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Sep 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年9月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 US retail sales (FRED)美国零售销售(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

How households feel about the economy家庭对经济的感受 Stale source数据源已过期
51.7051.70Index 1966q1 100指数(1966年一季度=100)

Higher more confident数值越高=信心越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Michigan consumer sentiment (FRED)密歇根消费者信心(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Household sentiment, year over year家庭感受同比 Stale source数据源已过期
−11.17−11.17%%

Higher more confident数值越高=信心越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Yoy pct change同比变化
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Michigan consumer sentiment (FRED)密歇根消费者信心(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Consumer credit total level消费者信贷总额 Current当前有效
5,196,778.45,196,778.4Usd billions sa十亿美元(季调)

Higher more credit outstanding数值越高=未偿信贷越多

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Total consumer credit (FRED)消费者信贷总额(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Consumer credit total yoy消费者信贷总额同比 Current当前有效
2.732.73%%

Higher faster credit growth数值越高=信贷增长越快

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Yoy pct change同比变化
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Total consumer credit (FRED)消费者信贷总额(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Consumer credit revolving level循环信贷水平 Current当前有效
1,352,414.01,352,414.0Usd billions sa十亿美元(季调)

Higher more credit outstanding数值越高=未偿信贷越多

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Revolving credit (FRED)循环信贷(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Consumer credit revolving yoy循环信贷同比 Current当前有效
3.373.37%%

Higher faster credit growth数值越高=信贷增长越快

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Yoy pct change同比变化
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Revolving credit (FRED)循环信贷(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Consumer credit nonrevolving level非循环信贷水平 Current当前有效
3,844,364.43,844,364.4Usd billions sa十亿美元(季调)

Higher more credit outstanding数值越高=未偿信贷越多

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Non-revolving credit (FRED)非循环信贷(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Consumer credit nonrevolving yoy非循环信贷同比 Current当前有效
2.512.51%%

Higher faster credit growth数值越高=信贷增长越快

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Yoy pct change同比变化
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Non-revolving credit (FRED)非循环信贷(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Personal saving rate level个人储蓄率 Current当前有效
4.104.10%%

Higher more precautionary saving数值越高=预防性储蓄越多

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Personal saving rate (FRED)个人储蓄率(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Personal saving rate change 3m个人储蓄率 3 个月变化 Current当前有效
−0.30−0.30Pct pts百分点

Higher more precautionary saving数值越高=预防性储蓄越多

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Trailing 3m level change过去 3 个月水平变化
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Personal saving rate (FRED)个人储蓄率(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Real disposable income level实际可支配收入 Current当前有效
18,410.518,410.5Usd billions chained saar链式十亿美元(年化季调)

Higher more income数值越高=收入越多

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Real disposable income (FRED)实际可支配收入(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Real disposable income yoy实际可支配收入同比 Current当前有效
1.301.30%%

Higher more income growth数值越高=收入增长越快

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Yoy pct change同比变化
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Aug 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年8月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Real disposable income (FRED)实际可支配收入(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Cc delinquency rate level信用卡拖欠率 Current当前有效
2.852.85%%

Higher more delinquency stress数值越高=拖欠压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Apr 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年4月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Credit-card delinquency (FRED)信用卡拖欠(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Mortgage delinquency rate level房贷拖欠率 Current当前有效
1.861.86%%

Higher more delinquency stress数值越高=拖欠压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Apr 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年4月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Mortgage delinquency (FRED)房贷拖欠(FRED)

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Payments panel card network支付面板(卡网络) Rights blocked授权受限
Rights blocked授权受限

N/a不适用

Details详情
Reference period参考期
—
Basis基准
N/a不适用
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Sep 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年9月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供

Owner所有者 No source is wired for this reading该项尚未接入数据源

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Household debt panel nyfed qhdc家庭债务面板(纽约联储) Not covered未覆盖
Not covered未覆盖

N/a不适用

Details详情
Reference period参考期
—
Basis基准
N/a不适用
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Sep 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年9月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供

Owner所有者 No source is wired for this reading该项尚未接入数据源

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Household cash-flow momentum家庭现金流动能 Current当前有效
75.0775.07score (0-100)评分(0–100)

Higher stronger momentum数值越高=动能越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Composite, prior-only inputs复合指标(仅使用先验输入)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Sep 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年9月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Consumer-payments desk消费支付小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Household credit stress家庭信贷压力 Current当前有效
48.2248.22score (0-100)评分(0–100)

Higher = more stress数值越高=压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Composite, prior-only inputs复合指标(仅使用先验输入)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Sep 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年9月1日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Consumer-payments desk消费支付小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

What's pushing it推动因素

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Drivers驱动因子

Signed push toward each axis high side. A driver is a disclosed contribution, not a cause.各分项推向坐标轴高值一侧的有符号推力。驱动因子是已披露的贡献,而非因果。

Push推力

Household cash-flow momentum家庭现金流动能

Driver驱动因子 Reading读数 Unit单位 Push推力 Coverage覆盖
Retail sales YoY零售销售同比 6.296.29 %% +6.29 Present已具备
Real disposable income YoY实际可支配收入同比 1.301.30 %% +1.30 Present已具备

Household credit stress家庭信贷压力

Driver驱动因子 Reading读数 Unit单位 Push推力 Coverage覆盖
Revolving credit YoY循环信贷同比 3.373.37 %% +3.37 Present已具备
Personal saving rate个人储蓄率 4.104.10 %% +4.10 Present已具备
Credit-card delinquency rate信用卡拖欠率 2.852.85 %% +2.85 Present已具备
Mortgage delinquency rate住房抵押贷款拖欠率 1.861.86 %% +1.86 Present已具备

How this is calculated计算方法

Household cash-flow momentum家庭现金流动能75.0775.07

Axis method receipts坐标轴方法凭据

A composite may only be shown when its full composition law is disclosed.只有在完整披露构成法则的前提下,复合指标才可展示。

Direction方向
Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强
Weights law权重法则
Equal weighted average of two required parts: retail sales, year over year, and real disposable income, year over year. Both must be present.两个必到分项的等权平均:零售销售同比,以及实际可支配收入同比。两项都必须到位。
Transformation变换
Year-over-year percent changes are mapped onto 0–100 so a faster rise reads higher. Only prior published prints are used; nothing is estimated inside this page.同比百分比变化映射到 0–100,上升越快读数越高。只使用已发布读数,本页不做估算。
Frequency alignment频率对齐
Both legs are monthly. Retail sales arrive about mid-month for the prior month; disposable income arrives at month-end.两个分项均为月度。零售销售约在次月中发布,可支配收入在月末发布。
Revision behaviour修订行为
Recomputed each time the source publishes, using only readings that were already known then. A method change is reported as a break in comparability, never as a numeric move.每次数据源发布时用当时已知的读数重算。方法变更会标明为不可比,而不会写成数字位移。
Components present已具备分项
2 / minimum最少 2
Coverage floor覆盖下限
At least 100% of the parts must be present至少 100% 的分项必须到位
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Sep 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年9月1日
Authority ceiling权限上限
Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易
Component分项 Raw原始值 Standardized标准化值 Weight权重 Contribution贡献
Retail sales YoY零售销售同比US retail sales (FRED)美国零售销售(FRED) 6.296.29 89.30 0.50 +19.65
Real disposable income YoY实际可支配收入同比Real disposable income (FRED)实际可支配收入(FRED) 1.301.30 60.84 0.50 +5.42
Household credit stress家庭信贷压力48.2248.22

Axis method receipts坐标轴方法凭据

A composite may only be shown when its full composition law is disclosed.只有在完整披露构成法则的前提下,复合指标才可展示。

Direction方向
Higher = more stress数值越高=压力越大
Weights law权重法则
Weighted average of the parts that are present (at least two of four): revolving credit, year over year, 30%; saving rate (inverted) 25%; credit-card delinquency 25%; mortgage delinquency 20%.按到位分项的加权平均(四项中至少两项):循环信贷同比 30%、储蓄率(取反)25%、信用卡拖欠 25%、房贷拖欠 20%。
Transformation变换
Revolving-credit growth maps onto 0–100. The saving rate is inverted around a disclosed neutral so a lower saving rate reads as more stress. Delinquency rates map linearly between disclosed floor and ceiling anchors.循环信贷增长映射到 0–100。储蓄率围绕已披露的中性水平取反,储蓄率越低压力越大。拖欠率在已披露的上下锚点之间线性映射。
Frequency alignment频率对齐
Mixed clocks: revolving credit about two months lagged, saving rate monthly at month-end, delinquency quarterly about seventy days after quarter-end.时钟不一:循环信贷大约滞后两个月,储蓄率为月末月度,拖欠率为季后约七十天的季度数据。
Revision behaviour修订行为
Recomputed each time the source publishes, using only readings that were already known then. A method change is reported as a break in comparability, never as a numeric move.每次数据源发布时用当时已知的读数重算。方法变更会标明为不可比,而不会写成数字位移。
Components present已具备分项
4 / minimum最少 2
Coverage floor覆盖下限
At least 50% of the parts must be present至少 50% 的分项必须到位
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 1 Sep 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年9月1日
Authority ceiling权限上限
Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易
Component分项 Raw原始值 Standardized标准化值 Weight权重 Contribution贡献
Revolving credit YoY循环信贷同比Revolving credit (FRED)循环信贷(FRED) 3.373.37 66.85 0.30 +5.06
Personal saving rate个人储蓄率Personal saving rate (FRED)个人储蓄率(FRED) 4.104.10 65.83 0.25 +3.96
Credit-card delinquency rate信用卡拖欠率Credit-card delinquency (FRED)信用卡拖欠(FRED) 2.852.85 37.00 0.25 −3.25
Mortgage delinquency rate住房抵押贷款拖欠率Mortgage delinquency (FRED)房贷拖欠(FRED) 1.861.86 12.29 0.20 −7.54

Component histories分项历史

Owner projections with per-series clocks, units, basis and revision behaviour.所有者投影序列,附各序列的时钟、单位、基准与修订行为。
Insufficient history历史数据不足

No chart yet — we don't have enough history for this one.暂无图表 — 该项历史数据不足。

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

This snapshot publishes no chart-ready history. An empty chart frame would read as a flat line at zero, so none is drawn.本快照未发布可绘图的历史序列。空白图框会被误读为零值水平线,因此不予绘制。

Freshness新鲜度

How this reading was revised本读数如何被修订

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Correction and method lineage更正与方法沿革

Correction state更正状态
No correction recorded无更正记录
Predecessor generation前一代产物
A prior published generation is on file.已有上一已发布代次存档。
Changed fingerprints已变更指纹
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Hysteresis滞回
A 5-point hold-back band kept this reading on the prior side of the line.5 点的滞回带使本读数留在原分界一侧。

This is a new observation for a later reference period, not a revision of the prior print. This print is as of 1 Sep 2026; the predecessor is as of 1 Aug 2026.这是较晚参考期的新观察,不是对上一期读数的修订。本期截至2026年9月1日;上一期截至2026年8月1日。

Not open yet尚未开放

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Declared but not offered已声明但尚未开放

These are named here rather than shown as tabs. A tab that cannot do its job is a dead destination.这些能力在此列出,而非以标签页形式呈现。无法履行职责的标签页就是一个死入口。

Scenario情景

No scenario execution is published for this workspace.本工作区尚未发布情景推演能力。

Assumption vocabulary declared (not executable)已声明的假设变量词表(尚不可执行)
  • Real income growth实际收入增长 %% −20.00 … 20.00 · step步长 0.50
  • Saving rate储蓄率 %% 0 … 25.00 · step步长 0.50
  • Revolving credit growth循环信贷增长 %% −20.00 … 30.00 · step步长 1.00
  • Credit-card delinquency rate信用卡拖欠率 %% 0 … 15.00 · step步长 0.25
  • Retail sales growth零售销售增长 %% −30.00 … 30.00 · step步长 0.50

Alerts预警

No alert service can create, evaluate or delete these conditions yet.尚无服务能够创建、评估或删除这些预警条件。

Eligible conditions declared (not offered)已声明的可用条件(尚未开放)
  • Savings deterioration储蓄恶化 Named state transition状态切换
  • Revolving-credit acceleration循环信贷加速 Component shock分项冲击
  • Spending/income divergence支出/收入背离 Contradiction appears or resolves矛盾出现或消解
  • Credit-stress boundary approach信贷压力临界值临近 Boundary approach接近分界
  • Source stale or failed数据源过期或失败 Source stale or failed数据源过期或失败
  • Material source revision数据源重大修订 Material source revision数据源重大修订