Macro & Monetary宏观与货币

Inflation System通胀体系

Inflation impulse x persistence & breadth通胀冲量 × 持续性与广度

Region地区 · United States美国 Frequency频率 · Updates when the source updates数据源更新时同步更新 Window窗口 · Latest reading最新读数
Data we need today今天需要的数据 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
Coverage覆盖率
100.0%

Updated once a night — not live.每晚更新一次 — 非实时。

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Conservative over the required set — a degraded optional leg cannot turn this green.在必需分项集合上取最保守值 — 可选分项降级不会让此处转绿。

Owner cadence, daily republish按所有者节奏,每日重新发布 · Latest accepted print最新已接受读数

Required-source availability必需数据源可用性

Page build time is not an economic clock and never makes a source fresh. This page is a static publication — it does not poll for live data.页面生成时间并非经济时钟,不会使数据源变新。本页为静态发布 — 不会实时轮询数据。

Last accepted source cut最近已接受数据截止
Calculation as-of计算截止
Page built页面生成
Where these numbers come from这些数字的来源

Required components and their source clocks必需分项及其数据源时钟

Component分项 Presence具备情况 Freshness新鲜度 Source as-of数据源截止
Core CPI, 3-month annualized核心CPI 3个月年化 Present已具备 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
Headline CPI, 3-month annualized总体CPI 3个月年化 Present已具备 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
Sticky minus flexible CPI spread顽固-灵活CPI利差 Present已具备 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
Core CPI acceleration, 3m vs 6m核心CPI加速度(3个月对6个月) Present已具备 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内

What this means for you这对你意味着什么

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

What this state implies该状态意味着什么

Deterministic text from the accepted snapshot. No language model writes here.文本由已接受快照确定性生成,此处不由语言模型撰写。

Inflation regime通胀体制

Accelerating but narrow, possibly transitory加速但狭窄,可能短暂

Effective date生效日期
Last reading上次读数
D
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Method version方法版本
Inflation method v1, published 16 Oct 2026通胀方法第1版,发布于2026年10月16日
Prior accepted print上一已接受读数
D

1-month vector一个月位移向量

Nearest boundary最近分界 / Score points to距下列坐标轴分界

Movement since the prior accepted print相对上一已接受读数的位移

Speed of price rises物价上涨速度 69.89 Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大 Simulated模拟
Spread of price rises涨价的广度 36.93 Higher more persistent broad数值越高=越持久、越广泛 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
Where it moved this month本月的变化方向 Faster price rises, no change in how widely prices are rising.物价上涨加快,涨价广度无变化。 Change since the last reading相对上次读数的变化
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Numeric move since the last reading:相对上次读数的数值位移: Δx +1.95 · Δy +0.00

How close to a different reading距离另一种读数还有多远 13.07 Spread of price rises涨价的广度

Where today sits今天落在哪里

This describes today. It is not a forecast.这是对今天的描述,不是预测。
A Disinflationary Broad / persistent 通缩/降温 广泛/顽固 B Inflationary Broad / persistent 通胀/升温 广泛/顽固 C Disinflationary Narrow / transitory 通缩/降温 狭窄/短暂 D Inflationary Narrow / transitory 通胀/升温 狭窄/短暂 Disinflationary 通缩/降温 Inflationary 通胀/升温 Speed of price rises 物价上涨速度 Narrow / transitory 狭窄/短暂 Broad / persistent 广泛/顽固 Spread of price rises 涨价的广度
Speed of price rises物价上涨速度69.89Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大
Spread of price rises涨价的广度36.93Higher more persistent broad数值越高=越持久、越广泛
Boundary分界50.00 / 50.00
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Hysteresis band滞回带 ±5.00 Applied against the prior print已对照上一读数应用

Regime map体制地图

Two disclosed descriptive axes. The grid is a description of the current reading, not a forecast.两条已披露的描述性坐标轴。此网格描述当前读数,并非预测。

Fixed, disclosed threshold on each axis每条坐标轴上固定且已披露的阈值

1-month vector一个月位移向量

Nearest boundary最近分界 / Score points to距下列坐标轴分界

Movement since the prior accepted print相对上一已接受读数的位移

Data problems数据问题

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Diagnostics诊断

Constraints, missing components, source issues and method warnings.约束、缺失分项、数据源问题与方法警示。

  • Required source not current必需数据源并非最新 Degraded required components: Core CPI, 3-month annualized, Headline CPI, 3-month annualized, Sticky minus flexible CPI spread, Core CPI acceleration, 3m vs 6m.降级的必需分项:核心CPI 3个月年化、总体CPI 3个月年化、顽固-灵活CPI利差、核心CPI加速度(3个月对6个月)。
  • Component histories not published未发布分项历史序列 Insufficient history历史数据不足
  • Scenario execution not available情景推演功能不可用 The assumption vocabulary is declared and closed, but no scenario function is published — so no Scenario tab is offered.假设变量词表已声明并封闭,但尚未发布情景函数 — 因此不提供“情景”标签页。
  • Alert service not available预警服务不可用 Eligible conditions are declared, but no service can create, list, evaluate or delete them — so no Alerts tab is offered.可用的预警条件已声明,但尚无服务能够创建、列出、评估或删除它们 — 因此不提供“预警”标签页。

What changed发生了什么变化

Today against last time, measured the same way.以相同方法将今天与上次对比。
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Current accepted snapshot against the prior accepted snapshot, under the same method version.在相同方法版本下,将当前已接受快照与上一已接受快照对比。

No numeric comparison is shown. A change table would have to invent a baseline that does not exist, and a method-version change is reported as a method change — never as a delta.此处不展示任何数值对比。展示变化表将不得不虚构一个并不存在的基准;方法版本变更只按方法变更呈现,绝不伪装成数值变化。

Comparable with the last reading与上次读数可比

Metric指标 Prior上期 Current当前 Change变化
Speed of price rises物价上涨速度 67.94 69.89+1.95
Spread of price rises涨价的广度 36.93 36.930

Component metrics分项指标

Each cell carries its own unit, basis, direction and clocks — frequencies differ inside one band.每个单元格自带单位、基准、方向与时钟 — 同一组内的频率并不相同。
Speed of price rises物价上涨速度 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
69.8969.89score (0-100)评分(0–100)

Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Composite, prior-only inputs复合指标(仅使用先验输入)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 16 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月16日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Inflation workspace通胀工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Spread of price rises涨价的广度 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
36.9336.93score (0-100)评分(0–100)

Higher more persistent broad数值越高=越持久、越广泛

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Composite, prior-only inputs复合指标(仅使用先验输入)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 16 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月16日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Inflation workspace通胀工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Headline cpi yoy pct整体 CPI 同比 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
3.723.72Pct yoy同比百分比

Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Seasonally adjusted not original vintage季调后(非原始版本)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Headline inflation-state desk总体通胀状态小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Headline cpi mom pct整体 CPI 环比 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
0.650.65Pct mom环比百分比

Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Seasonally adjusted not original vintage季调后(非原始版本)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Headline inflation-state desk总体通胀状态小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Core cpi yoy pct核心 CPI 同比 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
2.572.57Pct yoy同比百分比

Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Seasonally adjusted not original vintage季调后(非原始版本)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Core inflation-state desk核心通胀状态小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Core cpi mom pct核心 CPI 环比 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
0.330.33Pct mom环比百分比

Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Seasonally adjusted not original vintage季调后(非原始版本)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Core inflation-state desk核心通胀状态小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Core cpi annualized 6m pct核心 CPI 6个月年化 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
2.852.85Pct saar年化百分比

Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Seasonally adjusted not original vintage季调后(非原始版本)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Core inflation-state desk核心通胀状态小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Sticky cpi annualized 3m pct黏性 CPI 3个月年化 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
3.333.33Pct saar年化百分比

Higher more persistent数值越高=越持久

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Monthly proxy series月度代理序列
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Sticky-price inflation desk黏性价格通胀小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Flexible cpi annualized 3m pct灵活 CPI 3个月年化 Late, within tolerance延迟但在容忍范围内
8.178.17Pct saar年化百分比

Higher more transitory数值越高=越短暂

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Monthly proxy series月度代理序列
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Flexible-price inflation desk灵活价格通胀小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Next cpi core release projection mom pct下次核心 CPI 公布的环比估计 Simulated模拟
0.320.32Pct mom sa环比百分比(季调)

Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Release radar champion projection发布雷达主估计
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Inflation workspace通胀工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Next cpi release date下次 CPI 发布日期 Current当前有效
2026 11 102026 11 10

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Bls calendar劳工统计局日历
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Inflation workspace通胀工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Current month pressure direction本月价格压力方向 Simulated模拟
Upward price pressure向上的价格压力

Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Model nowcast模型即时估计
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1定义第1版

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Inflation workspace通胀工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

What's pushing it推动因素

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Drivers驱动因子

Signed push toward each axis high side. A driver is a disclosed contribution, not a cause.各分项推向坐标轴高值一侧的有符号推力。驱动因子是已披露的贡献,而非因果。

Push推力

Speed of price rises物价上涨速度

Driver驱动因子 Reading读数 Unit单位 Push推力 Coverage覆盖
Core CPI, 3-month annualized核心CPI 3个月年化 3.413.41 Pct saar年化百分比 +6.18 Present已具备
Headline CPI, 3-month annualized总体CPI 3个月年化 4.564.56 Pct saar年化百分比 +6.41 Present已具备
Core CPI, year-over-year核心CPI 同比 2.572.57 Pct yoy同比百分比 +1.41 Present已具备
Current-month core nowcast, annualized本月核心通胀模型预估(年化) 0.320.32 Pct saar年化百分比 +5.89 Present已具备

Spread of price rises涨价的广度

Driver驱动因子 Reading读数 Unit单位 Push推力 Coverage覆盖
Sticky minus flexible CPI, 3m annualized顽固-灵活CPI利差(3个月年化) −4.85−4.85 Pp spread百分点利差 −14.13 Present已具备
Core CPI acceleration, 3m vs 6m核心CPI加速度(3个月对6个月) 0.560.56 Pp百分点 +3.51 Present已具备
Sticky-price CPI acceleration, 3m vs 6m顽固价格CPI加速度(3个月对6个月) 0.280.28 Pp百分点 +1.40 Present已具备
Core minus headline CPI, YoY gap核心-总体CPI同比缺口 −1.15−1.15 Pp百分点 −3.84 Present已具备

How this is calculated计算方法

Speed of price rises物价上涨速度69.8969.89

Axis method receipts坐标轴方法凭据

A composite may only be shown when its full composition law is disclosed.只有在完整披露构成法则的前提下,复合指标才可展示。

Direction方向
Higher more inflationary数值越高=通胀压力越大
Weights law权重法则
Weighted average of the parts that are present: core CPI, 3-month annualised, 35%; headline CPI, 3-month annualised, 20%; core CPI year over year 20%; current-month core nowcast, annualised, 25%.按到位分项的加权平均:核心 CPI 三个月年化 35%、总体 CPI 三个月年化 20%、核心 CPI 同比 20%、当月核心即时预测(年化)25%。
Transformation变换
Each percent reading is centred on the Fed 2 percent objective and scaled so a 4-point gap fills half the scale, then clamped to 0–100. The nowcast leg compounds one monthly point into an annualised rate before the same mapping.各百分比读数以美联储 2% 目标为中心,4 个点对应半幅刻度,并限制在 0–100。即时预测分项先把一个月度点折成年化,再做同样映射。
Frequency alignment频率对齐
Monthly CPI-family release, one to two months lagged per the source's own freshness rule. The current-month nowcast is a faster intra-month clock and is marked simulated, never current.CPI 族月度发布,按来源自身新鲜度规则滞后一到两个月。当月即时预测是更快的月内时钟,标记为模拟而非当前。
Revision behaviour修订行为
Recomputed each time the source publishes, using only readings that were already known then. A method change is reported as a break in comparability, never as a numeric move.每次数据源发布时用当时已知的读数重算。方法变更会标明为不可比,而不会写成数字位移。
Components present已具备分项
4 / minimum最少 2
Coverage floor覆盖下限
At least 50% of the parts must be present至少 50% 的分项必须到位
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 16 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月16日
Authority ceiling权限上限
Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易
Component分项 Raw原始值 Standardized标准化值 Weight权重 Contribution贡献
Core CPI, 3-month annualized核心CPI 3个月年化Core inflation-state desk核心通胀状态小组 3.413.41 67.66 0.35 +6.18
Headline CPI, 3-month annualized总体CPI 3个月年化Headline inflation-state desk总体通胀状态小组 4.564.56 82.03 0.20 +6.41
Core CPI, year-over-year核心CPI 同比Core inflation-state desk核心通胀状态小组 2.572.57 57.07 0.20 +1.41
Current-month core nowcast, annualized本月核心通胀模型预估(年化)Current-month inflation-proxy desk当月通胀代理小组 0.320.32 73.54 0.25 +5.89
Spread of price rises涨价的广度36.9336.93

Axis method receipts坐标轴方法凭据

A composite may only be shown when its full composition law is disclosed.只有在完整披露构成法则的前提下,复合指标才可展示。

Direction方向
Higher more persistent broad数值越高=越持久、越广泛
Weights law权重法则
Weighted average of the parts that are present: sticky-minus-flexible 3-month annualised spread 35%; core 3-month versus 6-month acceleration 25%; sticky-price 3-month versus 6-month acceleration 20%; core-minus-headline year-over-year gap 20%.按到位分项的加权平均:黏性减灵活的三个月年化差 35%、核心三个月相对六个月加速 25%、黏性价格三个月相对六个月加速 20%、核心减总体的同比缺口 20%。
Transformation变换
Each spread is the difference of two already-published numbers, mapped onto 0–100 around a zero centre. The sticky-flexible spread uses a 6-point half-swing; the two acceleration legs use 2 points; the core-headline gap uses 3 points.每个差额都是两个已发布数字之差,以 0 为中心映射到 0–100。黏性与灵活之差按 6 个点为半幅;两个加速分项按 2 个点;核心与总体缺口按 3 个点。
Frequency alignment频率对齐
The same monthly CPI-family cadence and publication lag as the impulse axis. All four legs share the released-state clock.与冲量轴相同的 CPI 族月度节奏与发布滞后。四个分项共用已发布状态时钟。
Revision behaviour修订行为
Recomputed each time the source publishes, using only readings that were already known then. A method change is reported as a break in comparability, never as a numeric move.每次数据源发布时用当时已知的读数重算。方法变更会标明为不可比,而不会写成数字位移。
Components present已具备分项
4 / minimum最少 2
Coverage floor覆盖下限
At least 50% of the parts must be present至少 50% 的分项必须到位
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 16 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月16日
Authority ceiling权限上限
Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易
Component分项 Raw原始值 Standardized标准化值 Weight权重 Contribution贡献
Sticky minus flexible CPI, 3m annualized顽固-灵活CPI利差(3个月年化)Underlying inflation-proxy desk潜在通胀代理小组 −4.85−4.85 9.62 0.35 −14.13
Core CPI acceleration, 3m vs 6m核心CPI加速度(3个月对6个月)Core inflation-state desk核心通胀状态小组 0.560.56 64.02 0.25 +3.51
Sticky-price CPI acceleration, 3m vs 6m顽固价格CPI加速度(3个月对6个月)Sticky-price inflation desk黏性价格通胀小组 0.280.28 57.00 0.20 +1.40
Core minus headline CPI, YoY gap核心-总体CPI同比缺口Released inflation-state desk已发布通胀状态小组 −1.15−1.15 30.81 0.20 −3.84

Component histories分项历史

Owner projections with per-series clocks, units, basis and revision behaviour.所有者投影序列,附各序列的时钟、单位、基准与修订行为。
Insufficient history历史数据不足

No chart yet — we don't have enough history for this one.暂无图表 — 该项历史数据不足。

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

This snapshot publishes no chart-ready history. An empty chart frame would read as a flat line at zero, so none is drawn.本快照未发布可绘图的历史序列。空白图框会被误读为零值水平线,因此不予绘制。

Freshness新鲜度

How this reading was revised本读数如何被修订

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Correction and method lineage更正与方法沿革

Correction state更正状态
No correction recorded无更正记录
Predecessor generation前一代产物
A prior published generation is on file.已有上一已发布代次存档。
Changed fingerprints已变更指纹
—
Hysteresis滞回
A 5-point hold-back band is configured but was not needed this reading.已配置 5 点滞回带,但本读数未用到。

Same reference period as the predecessor print; no source value changed (no-change republication). This print is as of 16 Oct 2026; the predecessor is as of 9 Oct 2026.与上一期读数同一参考期;源值未变(无变更再发布)。本期截至2026年10月16日;上一期截至2026年10月9日。

Not open yet尚未开放

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Declared but not offered已声明但尚未开放

These are named here rather than shown as tabs. A tab that cannot do its job is a dead destination.这些能力在此列出,而非以标签页形式呈现。无法履行职责的标签页就是一个死入口。

Scenario情景

No scenario execution is published for this workspace.本工作区尚未发布情景推演能力。

Assumption vocabulary declared (not executable)已声明的假设变量词表(尚不可执行)
  • Shelter MoM shock住房环比冲击 Pp百分点 −1.00 … 1.00 · step步长 0.05
  • Energy MoM shock能源环比冲击 %% −20.00 … 20.00 · step步长 0.50
  • Core services ex-shelter MoM shock核心服务(不含住房)环比冲击 Pp百分点 −1.00 … 1.00 · step步长 0.05
  • Wage growth shock工资增长冲击 Pp百分点 −3.00 … 3.00 · step步长 0.10

Alerts预警

No alert service can create, evaluate or delete these conditions yet.尚无服务能够创建、评估或删除这些预警条件。

Eligible conditions declared (not offered)已声明的可用条件(尚未开放)
  • Regime change体制变化 Named state transition状态切换
  • Boundary approach接近分界 Boundary approach接近分界
  • Component shock分项冲击 Component shock分项冲击
  • Source stale or failed数据源过期或失败 Source stale or failed数据源过期或失败
  • Material source revision数据源重大修订 Material source revision数据源重大修订
  • CPI release approachingCPI数据即将公布 Scheduled release approaching临近既定发布
  • Contradiction appeared or resolved矛盾出现或消解 Contradiction appears or resolves矛盾出现或消解