Macro & Monetary宏观与货币

Labor Markets劳动力市场

Labor demand x labor supply/tightness劳动力需求 × 劳动力供给/紧张度

Region地区 · United States美国 Frequency频率 · Updates when the source updates数据源更新时同步更新 Window窗口 · Latest reading最新读数
Data we need today今天需要的数据 Current当前有效
Coverage覆盖率
100.0%

Updated once a night — not live.每晚更新一次 — 非实时。

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Conservative over the required set — a degraded optional leg cannot turn this green.在必需分项集合上取最保守值 — 可选分项降级不会让此处转绿。

Owner cadence, daily republish按所有者节奏,每日重新发布 · Latest accepted print最新已接受读数

Required-source availability必需数据源可用性

Page build time is not an economic clock and never makes a source fresh. This page is a static publication — it does not poll for live data.页面生成时间并非经济时钟,不会使数据源变新。本页为静态发布 — 不会实时轮询数据。

Last accepted source cut最近已接受数据截止
Calculation as-of计算截止
Page built页面生成
Where these numbers come from这些数字的来源

Required components and their source clocks必需分项及其数据源时钟

Component分项 Presence具备情况 Freshness新鲜度 Source as-of数据源截止
Initial-claims momentum初请失业金动能 Present已具备 Current当前有效
Job-postings momentum (Indeed)职位发布动能(Indeed) Present已具备 Current当前有效
Sahm rule level萨姆规则水平 Present已具备 Current当前有效
Claims-based recession subscore基于初请的衰退子评分 Present已具备 Current当前有效

What this means for you这对你意味着什么

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

What this state implies该状态意味着什么

Deterministic text from the accepted snapshot. No language model writes here.文本由已接受快照确定性生成,此处不由语言模型撰写。

Labor demand / supply-tightness regime劳动力需求 / 供给紧张度状态

Strong hiring / Tight market招聘强劲 / 市场偏紧

Effective date生效日期
Last reading上次读数
No prior reading on file尚无上次读数
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Method version方法版本
Labor-markets method v1, published 20 Oct 2026劳动力市场方法第1版,发布于2026年10月20日
Prior accepted print上一已接受读数
No prior accepted print on file尚无上一已接受读数

1-month vector一个月位移向量

Nearest boundary最近分界 / Score points to距下列坐标轴分界

Movement since the prior accepted print相对上一已接受读数的位移

We can't show the move yet — there is nothing comparable to measure it against.暂时无法显示变化 — 没有可对比的历史读数。

Employer demand for workers企业对劳动力的需求 76.53 Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强 Current当前有效
Tightness of the job market就业市场的紧张程度 72.50 Higher = tighter funding数值越高=融资越紧 Current当前有效
Where it moved this month本月的变化方向 Insufficient history历史数据不足 We can't show the move yet — there is nothing comparable to measure it against.暂时无法显示变化 — 没有可对比的历史读数。
How close to a different reading距离另一种读数还有多远 22.50 Tightness of the job market就业市场的紧张程度

Where today sits今天落在哪里

This describes today. It is not a forecast.这是对今天的描述,不是预测。
A Weakening demand Tight market 需求走弱 市场偏紧 B Strengthening demand Tight market 需求走强 市场偏紧 C Weakening demand Loose market 需求走弱 市场宽松 D Strengthening demand Loose market 需求走强 市场宽松 Weakening demand 需求走弱 Strengthening demand 需求走强 Employer demand for workers 企业对劳动力的需求 Loose market 市场宽松 Tight market 市场偏紧 Tightness of the job market 就业市场的紧张程度
Employer demand for workers企业对劳动力的需求76.53Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强
Tightness of the job market就业市场的紧张程度72.50Higher = tighter funding数值越高=融资越紧
Boundary分界50.00 / 50.00
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Hysteresis band滞回带 ±5.00 Not applied: no comparable prior print未应用:不存在可比的历史读数

No comparable earlier reading没有可对比的历史读数

Regime map体制地图

Two disclosed descriptive axes. The grid is a description of the current reading, not a forecast.两条已披露的描述性坐标轴。此网格描述当前读数,并非预测。

Fixed, disclosed threshold on each axis每条坐标轴上固定且已披露的阈值

1-month vector一个月位移向量

Nearest boundary最近分界 / Score points to距下列坐标轴分界

Movement since the prior accepted print相对上一已接受读数的位移

We can't show the move yet — there is nothing comparable to measure it against.暂时无法显示变化 — 没有可对比的历史读数。

No movement arrow is drawn.未绘制位移箭头。 Insufficient history历史数据不足

Data problems数据问题

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Diagnostics诊断

Constraints, missing components, source issues and method warnings.约束、缺失分项、数据源问题与方法警示。

  • Component histories not published未发布分项历史序列 Insufficient history历史数据不足
  • Scenario execution not available情景推演功能不可用 The assumption vocabulary is declared and closed, but no scenario function is published — so no Scenario tab is offered.假设变量词表已声明并封闭,但尚未发布情景函数 — 因此不提供“情景”标签页。
  • Alert service not available预警服务不可用 Eligible conditions are declared, but no service can create, list, evaluate or delete them — so no Alerts tab is offered.可用的预警条件已声明,但尚无服务能够创建、列出、评估或删除它们 — 因此不提供“预警”标签页。

What changed发生了什么变化

Today against last time, measured the same way.以相同方法将今天与上次对比。
Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Current accepted snapshot against the prior accepted snapshot, under the same method version.在相同方法版本下,将当前已接受快照与上一已接受快照对比。

No numeric comparison is shown. A change table would have to invent a baseline that does not exist, and a method-version change is reported as a method change — never as a delta.此处不展示任何数值对比。展示变化表将不得不虚构一个并不存在的基准;方法版本变更只按方法变更呈现,绝不伪装成数值变化。

Comparable with the last reading与上次读数可比

Metric指标 Prior上期 Current当前 Change变化
Employer demand for workers企业对劳动力的需求 72.28 76.53+4.25
Tightness of the job market就业市场的紧张程度 No earlier reading available to compare yet.暂无可比较的更早读数。 72.50No earlier reading available to compare yet.暂无可比较的更早读数。

Component metrics分项指标

Each cell carries its own unit, basis, direction and clocks — frequencies differ inside one band.每个单元格自带单位、基准、方向与时钟 — 同一组内的频率并不相同。
Employer demand for workers企业对劳动力的需求 Current当前有效
76.5376.53score (0-100)评分(0–100)

Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Composite, prior-only inputs复合指标(仅使用先验输入)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Labor-markets workspace劳动力市场工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Tightness of the job market就业市场的紧张程度 Current当前有效
72.5072.50score (0-100)评分(0–100)

Higher = tighter funding数值越高=融资越紧

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Composite, prior-only inputs复合指标(仅使用先验输入)
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Labor-markets workspace劳动力市场工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Initial claims 4wk初请失业金(4周) Current当前有效
198,500.0198,500.0Persons人

Higher = weaker数值越高=越疲弱

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Four week moving average四周移动平均
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Continued claims续请失业金 Current当前有效
1,710,000.01,710,000.0Persons人

Higher = weaker数值越高=越疲弱

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Claims yoy pct失业金申领同比 Current当前有效
−12.46−12.46%%

Higher = weaker数值越高=越疲弱

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Year over year同比
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Claims z失业金申领 z 值 Current当前有效
−2.00−2.00std dev标准差

Higher = weaker数值越高=越疲弱

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Indeed postings indexIndeed 职位发布指数 Current当前有效
103.80103.80index指数

Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Indeed chg 3m pctIndeed 三个月变化 Current当前有效
1.771.77%%

Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Three month change三个月变化
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Withheld tax yoy pct代扣税同比 Current当前有效
4.764.76%%

Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Year over year同比
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Sahm rule value萨姆规则读数 Current当前有效
00Pp百分点

Higher looser数值越高=越宽松

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Recession-regime desk衰退体制小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Recession claims subscore衰退申领分项评分 Current当前有效
00Score 0 1评分(0–1)

Higher = weaker数值越高=越疲弱

Details详情
Reference period参考期
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。

Owner所有者 Recession-regime desk衰退体制小组

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Payrolls nfp change and revision非农就业变化与修订 Source failed数据源获取失败
Not covered未覆盖Persons thousands千人

Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
—
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供

Owner所有者 Labor-markets workspace劳动力市场工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Unemployment rate u3失业率(U3) Source failed数据源获取失败
Not covered未覆盖%%

Higher looser数值越高=越宽松

Details详情
Reference period参考期
—
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供

Owner所有者 Labor-markets workspace劳动力市场工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Labor force participation rate劳动参与率 Source failed数据源获取失败
Not covered未覆盖%%

Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
—
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供

Owner所有者 Labor-markets workspace劳动力市场工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Jolts job openings职位空缺 Source failed数据源获取失败
Not covered未覆盖Persons thousands千人

Higher = tighter funding数值越高=融资越紧

Details详情
Reference period参考期
—
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供

Owner所有者 Labor-markets workspace劳动力市场工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Jolts quits rate主动离职率 Source failed数据源获取失败
Not covered未覆盖%%

Higher = tighter funding数值越高=融资越紧

Details详情
Reference period参考期
—
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供

Owner所有者 Labor-markets workspace劳动力市场工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Avg hourly earnings yoy平均时薪同比 Source failed数据源获取失败
Not covered未覆盖%%

Higher = tighter funding数值越高=融资越紧

Details详情
Reference period参考期
—
Basis基准
Year over year同比
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供

Owner所有者 Labor-markets workspace劳动力市场工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

Adp bls payroll divergenceADP 与劳工部就业差 Source failed数据源获取失败
Not covered未覆盖Persons thousands千人

Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强

Details详情
Reference period参考期
—
Basis基准
Level水平值
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日

Clocks and owner时钟与所有者

Reference period参考期The period the economic value describes.该经济数值所描述的期间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Observed观察时间Native economic or market observation time.原生经济或市场观察时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Released发布时间Provider publication time.数据提供方的发布时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
First knowable首次可知Earliest time this value was lawfully knowable to us.本系统可合法获知该数值的最早时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Collected采集时间When Mastermind received it.Mastermind 接收到该数据的时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Revised修订时间Provider correction or revision time.数据提供方的更正或修订时间。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供
Worked out on计算日期Cut-off used for the derived result.推导结果所使用的数据截止点。
not carried by this source该数据源未提供

Owner所有者 Labor-markets workspace劳动力市场工作区

Authority ceiling权限上限 Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易

What's pushing it推动因素

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Drivers驱动因子

Signed push toward each axis high side. A driver is a disclosed contribution, not a cause.各分项推向坐标轴高值一侧的有符号推力。驱动因子是已披露的贡献,而非因果。

Push推力

Employer demand for workers企业对劳动力的需求

Driver驱动因子 Reading读数 Unit单位 Push推力 Coverage覆盖
Initial-claims momentum初请失业金动能 −2.00−2.00 z-scorez 值 +15.99 Present已具备
Job-postings momentum (Indeed)职位发布动能(Indeed) 1.771.77 %% +3.09 Present已具备
Withheld-tax income growth (proxy)预扣税收入增长(代理指标) 4.764.76 %% +7.44 Present已具备

Tightness of the job market就业市场的紧张程度

Driver驱动因子 Reading读数 Unit单位 Push推力 Coverage覆盖
Sahm rule level萨姆规则水平 00 ratio比率 0 Present已具备
Claims-based recession subscore基于初请的衰退子评分 00 ratio比率 +22.50 Present已具备

How this is calculated计算方法

Employer demand for workers企业对劳动力的需求76.5376.53

Axis method receipts坐标轴方法凭据

A composite may only be shown when its full composition law is disclosed.只有在完整披露构成法则的前提下,复合指标才可展示。

Direction方向
Higher = stronger support数值越高=支持越强
Weights law权重法则
Weighted average of the parts that are present: initial-claims momentum 40%, job-postings momentum 35%, withheld-tax income-growth proxy 25%.按到位分项的加权平均:初请动量 40%、职位发布动量 35%、代扣税收入增长代理 25%。
Transformation变换
Claims are inverted so elevated claims read as weaker demand. Job-postings 3-month change and withheld-tax year-over-year growth map onto 0–100. Only prior published readings are used.初请取反,初请升高表示需求更弱。职位发布三个月变化与代扣税同比映射到 0–100。只使用已发布的先验读数。
Frequency alignment频率对齐
Mixed clocks: weekly initial claims (Thursday), weekly job-postings, and a daily-accrual Treasury withheld-tax proxy, all aligned to one shared calculation date.时钟不一:周度初请(周四)、周度职位发布,以及按日累计的财政部代扣税代理,全部对齐到同一个计算日。
Revision behaviour修订行为
Recomputed each time the source publishes, using only readings that were already known then. A method change is reported as a break in comparability, never as a numeric move.每次数据源发布时用当时已知的读数重算。方法变更会标明为不可比,而不会写成数字位移。
Components present已具备分项
3 / minimum最少 2
Coverage floor覆盖下限
At least 50% of the parts must be present至少 50% 的分项必须到位
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日
Authority ceiling权限上限
Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易
Component分项 Raw原始值 Standardized标准化值 Weight权重 Contribution贡献
Initial-claims momentum初请失业金动能Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组 −2.00−2.00 89.99 0.40 +15.99
Job-postings momentum (Indeed)职位发布动能(Indeed)Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组 1.771.77 58.84 0.35 +3.09
Withheld-tax income growth (proxy)预扣税收入增长(代理指标)Labor-nowcast regime desk劳动力即时预测体制小组 4.764.76 79.76 0.25 +7.44
Tightness of the job market就业市场的紧张程度72.5072.50

Axis method receipts坐标轴方法凭据

A composite may only be shown when its full composition law is disclosed.只有在完整披露构成法则的前提下,复合指标才可展示。

Direction方向
Higher = tighter funding数值越高=融资越紧
Weights law权重法则
Weighted average of the parts that are present: Sahm-rule level 55%, claims-based recession subscore 45%.按到位分项的加权平均:萨姆规则水平 55%、基于初请的衰退子评分 45%。
Transformation变换
The Sahm rule is inverted against its 0.5-point recession trigger so a lower Sahm reads as a tighter market. The claims recession subscore is inverted the same way. Both land on 0–100.萨姆规则相对 0.5 点衰退触发值取反,萨姆越低表示市场越紧。初请衰退子评分同样取反。两者均落到 0–100。
Frequency alignment频率对齐
Monthly unemployment (first Friday) for the Sahm rule, and the weekly claims clock for the recession subscore — two native cadences under one axis.萨姆规则用月度失业率(第一个周五),衰退子评分用周度初请 — 同一轴下两种原生节奏。
Revision behaviour修订行为
Recomputed each time the source publishes, using only readings that were already known then. A method change is reported as a break in comparability, never as a numeric move.每次数据源发布时用当时已知的读数重算。方法变更会标明为不可比,而不会写成数字位移。
Components present已具备分项
2 / minimum最少 2
Coverage floor覆盖下限
At least 50% of the parts must be present至少 50% 的分项必须到位
Definition version定义版本
Definition v1, published 20 Oct 2026定义第1版,发布于2026年10月20日
Authority ceiling权限上限
Descriptive reading — this page cannot rank, size or trigger a trade描述性读数 — 本页不能排名、定仓或触发交易
Component分项 Raw原始值 Standardized标准化值 Weight权重 Contribution贡献
Sahm rule level萨姆规则水平Recession-regime desk衰退体制小组 00 50.00 0.55 0
Claims-based recession subscore基于初请的衰退子评分Recession-regime desk衰退体制小组 00 100.00 0.45 +22.50

Component histories分项历史

Owner projections with per-series clocks, units, basis and revision behaviour.所有者投影序列,附各序列的时钟、单位、基准与修订行为。
Insufficient history历史数据不足

No chart yet — we don't have enough history for this one.暂无图表 — 该项历史数据不足。

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

This snapshot publishes no chart-ready history. An empty chart frame would read as a flat line at zero, so none is drawn.本快照未发布可绘图的历史序列。空白图框会被误读为零值水平线,因此不予绘制。

Freshness新鲜度

How this reading was revised本读数如何被修订

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Correction and method lineage更正与方法沿革

Correction state更正状态
No correction recorded无更正记录
Predecessor generation前一代产物
A prior published generation is on file.已有上一已发布代次存档。
Changed fingerprints已变更指纹
—
Hysteresis滞回
A 5-point hold-back band is configured but was not needed this reading.已配置 5 点滞回带,但本读数未用到。

This is a new observation for a later reference period, not a revision of the prior print. This print is as of 20 Oct 2026; the predecessor is as of 19 Oct 2026.这是较晚参考期的新观察,不是对上一期读数的修订。本期截至2026年10月20日;上一期截至2026年10月19日。

Not open yet尚未开放

Technical notes技术说明

Technical receipt for operators — series names, timestamps and file paths. Not the customer reading.给操作员的技术凭据 — 序列名、时间戳与文件路径。不是给客户看的读数。

Declared but not offered已声明但尚未开放

These are named here rather than shown as tabs. A tab that cannot do its job is a dead destination.这些能力在此列出,而非以标签页形式呈现。无法履行职责的标签页就是一个死入口。

Scenario情景

No scenario execution is published for this workspace.本工作区尚未发布情景推演能力。

Assumption vocabulary declared (not executable)已声明的假设变量词表(尚不可执行)
  • Initial claims (4wk avg)初请失业金(4周均值) Persons thousands千人 150.00 … 500.00 · step步长 5.00
  • Payroll change非农就业变动 Persons thousands千人 −500.00 … 500.00 · step步长 25.00
  • Unemployment rate失业率 Pp百分点 2.00 … 12.00 · step步长 0.10
  • Wage growth (proxy)薪资增长(代理指标) %% −5.00 … 10.00 · step步长 0.25

Alerts预警

No alert service can create, evaluate or delete these conditions yet.尚无服务能够创建、评估或删除这些预警条件。

Eligible conditions declared (not offered)已声明的可用条件(尚未开放)
  • Sahm-style risk state萨姆规则风险状态 Named state transition状态切换
  • Claims break初请数据突变 Component shock分项冲击
  • Wage/income persistence薪资/收入持续性 Component shock分项冲击
  • Material source revision数据源重大修订 Material source revision数据源重大修订
  • Source stale or failed (data outage)数据源过期或失败(数据中断) Source stale or failed数据源过期或失败
  • Low-hires/low-fires contradiction低招聘/低裁员矛盾 Contradiction appears or resolves矛盾出现或消解