Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Tech / DBX
Dropbox · Tech
DBX US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Dropbox is a file hosting service operated by the American company Dropbox, Inc., headquartered in San Francisco, California, that offers cloud storage, file synchronization, personal cloud, and client software.Dropbox是由美国公司Dropbox, Inc.运营的文件托管服务，总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山，提供云存储、文件同步、个人云和客户端软件。
Tech
S&P 400标普400中盘
Quality compounder优质复利股
$35.93
+$2.30 · +6.84%
52w low52周低 $21.69high高 $36.65
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
The low is already in and price has run. Wait for a pullback; hold if you're long.低点已经形成、价格已经拉升。等待回调再入场；若已持有可继续持有。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
71
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+21.3% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+31.8% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
91th percentile第91百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 6 analysts预期上调 — 6 位分析师
Beat in 3 of last 4 quarters近 4 季中 3 季超预期
Post-earnings drift: -4.5% (20d)财报后漂移：-4.5%（20日）
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 12.5%
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$2.5B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 5.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$1.862025
20202025
Free cash flow自由现金流
$930.8M2025
20202025
Gross margin毛利率
80.1%
Operating margin营业利润率
27.3%
Net margin净利率
20.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
37.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/7
Return on equity股本回报率 -28%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.09
Current ratio流动比率0.63
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.7B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$300.8M
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DBX made a new 52-week highDBX 创52周新高
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$18.1M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$18.1M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~15 day(s) ago @ 28.43) and overbought (daily RSI 71, 3-day 72 & weekly 71). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 15 天前形成 @ 28.43）且已超买（日线 RSI 71、3 日 72 与周线 71）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
Aug 13, 2026
DBX made a new 52-week highDBX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $35.93.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$35.93。
Aug 13, 2026
DBX RSI reached overboughtDBX RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $35.93.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$35.93。
Aug 12, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Aug 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Aug 4, 2026
DBX made a new 52-week highDBX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $34.51.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$34.51。
Aug 4, 2026
DBX RSI reached overboughtDBX RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $34.51.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$34.51。
Jul 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 29, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 29, 2026
DBX made a new 52-week highDBX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $33.33.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$33.33。
Jul 29, 2026
DBX RSI reached overboughtDBX RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $33.33.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$33.33。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 277 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Dropbox is a file hosting service operated by the American company Dropbox, Inc., headquartered in San Francisco, California, that offers cloud storage, file synchronization, personal cloud, and client software.Dropbox是由美国公司Dropbox, Inc.运营的文件托管服务，总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山，提供云存储、文件同步、个人云和客户端软件。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Profitability盈利能力
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
46/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
89/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
88/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
64/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#126 / 222
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.0% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +19.9% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +34.0% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +46.5% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +33.4% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +27.7% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +26.7% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.32
Volatility rank波动率分位
91th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-0.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.9B | $2.2B | $2.3B | $2.5B | $2.5B | $2.5B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-0.62 | $0.85 | $1.52 | $1.31 | $1.40 | $1.86 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $491M | $708M | $764M | $759M | $872M | $931M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 78.3% | 79.4% | 80.9% | 80.9% | 82.5% | 80.1% |
| Net margin净利率 | -13.4% | 15.6% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 20.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 25.6% | 32.8% | 32.8% | 30.4% | 34.2% | 36.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$2.5B
Gross profit毛利润
$2.0B
Net income净利润
$508M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$952M
Total assets总资产
$2.8B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$-1.8B
Buybacks股票回购
$1.7B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
-28.3%
Return on assets资产回报率
17.9%
Profit growth利润增速
+12.4%
Asset growth资产增速
-14.4%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: receivables +82% vs sales +32% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +82% 对销售 +32%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Pricing power: strong gross profitability vs peers定价能力：毛利能力强于同业
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
71
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
86
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+11.0%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+21.3%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+31.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
100/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $0.51 | $0.46 | +10.9% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.43 | $0.43 | 0.0% |
| Sep 2025 | $0.49 | $0.41 | +19.5% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.49 | $0.41 | +19.5% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
6
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-3.6%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+6
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$18.1M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 8
Days to cover回补天数
7.0
Short interest change空头变化
-6.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Aug · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Feb · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +6.9% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 0% | -19.7% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +1.6% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +7.0% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +1.2% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +0.1% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +6.4% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 100% | +7.0% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +1.4% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -3.2% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +7.1% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +4.7% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。